[Federal Register: November 19, 2007 (Volume 72, Number 222)]
[Rules and Regulations]               
[Page 65171-65204]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov]
[DOCID:fr19no07-12]                         


[[Page 65171]]

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Part III





Department of Agriculture





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Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service



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7 CFR Parts 301 and 305



 Citrus Canker; Movement of Fruit From Quarantined Areas; Final Rule


[[Page 65172]]


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DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service

7 CFR Parts 301 and 305

[Docket No. APHIS-2007-0022]
RIN 0579-AC34

 
Citrus Canker; Movement of Fruit From Quarantined Areas

AGENCY: Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, USDA.

ACTION: Final rule.

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SUMMARY: We are amending the citrus canker regulations to modify the 
conditions under which fruit may be moved interstate from a quarantined 
area. We are eliminating the requirement that the groves in which the 
fruit is produced be inspected and found free of citrus canker, and 
instead are requiring that every lot of fruit produced in the 
quarantined area be inspected by the Animal and Plant Health Inspection 
Service at a packinghouse operating under a compliance agreement and 
found to be free of visible symptoms of citrus canker. We are retaining 
the requirement that the fruit be treated with a surface disinfectant 
and the prohibition on the movement of fruit from a quarantined area 
into commercial citrus-producing States. These changes will relieve 
some restrictions on the interstate movement of fresh citrus fruit from 
Florida while maintaining conditions that will help prevent the 
artificial spread of citrus canker.

DATES: Effective Date: November 19, 2007.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mr. Stephen Poe, Senior Operations 
Officer, Emergency and Domestic Programs, Plant Protection and 
Quarantine, APHIS, 4700 River Road Unit 137, Riverdale, MD 20737-1231; 
(301) 734-4387.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

    Citrus canker is a plant disease caused by the bacterium 
Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri (referred to below as Xac) that 
affects plants and plant parts, including fresh fruit, of citrus and 
citrus relatives (Family Rutaceae). Citrus canker can cause defoliation 
and other serious damage to the leaves and twigs of susceptible plants. 
It can also cause lesions on the fruit of infected plants, which render 
the fruit unmarketable, and cause infected fruit to drop from the trees 
before reaching maturity. The aggressive A (Asiatic) strain of citrus 
canker can infect susceptible plants rapidly and lead to extensive 
economic losses in commercial citrus-producing areas. Citrus canker is 
only known to be present in the United States in the State of Florida.
    The regulations to prevent the interstate spread of citrus canker 
are contained in Sec. Sec.  301.75-1 through 301.75-14 of ``Subpart--
Citrus Canker'' (7 CFR 301.75-1 through 301.75-17, referred to below as 
the regulations). The regulations restrict the interstate movement of 
regulated articles from and through areas quarantined because of citrus 
canker and provide, among other things, conditions under which 
regulated fruit may be moved into, through, and from quarantined areas 
for packing. These regulations are promulgated pursuant to the Plant 
Protection Act (7 U.S.C. 7701 et seq.).
    On June 21, 2007, we published in the Federal Register (72 FR 
34180-34191, Docket No. APHIS-2007-0022) a proposal \1\ to amend the 
citrus canker regulations by modifying the conditions under which fruit 
may be moved interstate from quarantined areas. We proposed to 
eliminate the requirement that the groves in which the fruit is 
produced be inspected and found free of citrus canker, and instead 
proposed to require that every lot of fruit produced in the quarantined 
area be inspected by the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service 
(APHIS) at a packinghouse operating under a compliance agreement and 
found to be free of visible symptoms of citrus canker. We proposed to 
retain the requirement that the fruit be treated with a surface 
disinfectant and the prohibition on the movement of fruit from a 
quarantined area into commercial citrus-producing States.
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    \1\ To view the proposed rule, the supporting analyses, and the 
comments we received, go to http://www.regulations.gov/fdmspublic/
component/main?main=DocketDetail&d=APHIS-2007-0022.
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    We solicited comments concerning our proposal for 30 days ending 
July 23, 2007. We subsequently reopened and extended the deadline for 
comments until August 7, 2007, in a document published in the Federal 
Register on July 27, 2007 (Docket No. APHIS-2007-0022, 72 FR 41239). We 
received 72 comments by the close of the comment period. They were from 
producers, exporters, researchers, and representatives of State 
governments. They are discussed below by topic.

Pest Risk Assessment and Risk Management Analysis

    To inform the deliberations that led to the proposed rule, we 
prepared two documents that addressed the risk associated with the 
interstate movement of citrus fruit from a quarantined area: A pest 
risk assessment (PRA) and a risk management analysis (RMA). The PRA, 
which was titled ``Evaluation of asymptomatic citrus fruit (Citrus 
spp.) as a pathway for the introduction of citrus canker disease 
(Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. citri),'' considered all available evidence 
associated with asymptomatic citrus fruit as a pathway for the 
introduction of citrus canker. The PRA concluded that asymptomatic, 
commercially produced citrus fruit treated with a surface disinfectant 
and subject to other mitigations is not epidemiologically significant 
\2\ as a pathway for the introduction and spread of citrus canker. We 
first made this document available for comment on April 6, 2006, when 
we published a notice in the Federal Register (71 FR 17434-17435, 
Docket No. APHIS-2006-0045), announcing its availability for comment 
for 60 days; the comment period was subsequently extended to 90 days. 
We also submitted it for peer review in accordance with the U.S. 
Department of Agriculture (USDA) guidelines for peer review developed 
in response to the Office of Management and Budget's peer review 
bulletin. We received 19 comments by the end of the comment period, 
which we also submitted to the peer review panel members for their 
consideration.\3\ We carefully considered the comments of the public 
and peer reviewers, and made revisions to the analysis based on 
concerns they raised. The revisions did not change the conclusions of 
the PRA; the revised version of the PRA was provided with the proposed 
rule.
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    \2\ We use the term ``epidemiologically significant'' to refer 
to minimum conditions required for disease transmission.
    \3\ The original PRA and the comments we received on it can be 
viewed at http://www.regulations.gov/fdmspublic/component/
main?main=DocketDetail&d=APHIS-2006-0045.
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    In light of the comments by the public and peer reviewers, it 
became clear that additional analysis was necessary to apply the 
conclusions of the PRA to the situation in Florida. In order to apply 
the conclusions of the PRA, we needed to extend its application to 
evaluate methods by which fruit \4\ could be produced, treated, 
inspected, packaged, and shipped without resulting in the

[[Page 65173]]

spread of citrus canker to commercial citrus-producing areas. 
(Commercial citrus-producing areas are listed in Sec.  301.75-5 of the 
regulations and are referred to in this document as commercial citrus-
producing States. Those States, listed in Sec.  301.75-5(a), are: 
American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, 
Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, Texas, and the U.S. Virgin 
Islands.)
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    \4\ Given the practical difficulties in ensuring that only 
asymptomatic fruit enters interstate commerce under any regulatory 
strategy, we refer here to host fruit in general.
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    To address the considerations described above, APHIS prepared the 
RMA, which was titled ``Movement of commercially packed fresh citrus 
fruit (Citrus spp.) from citrus canker (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. 
citri) disease quarantine areas, March 2007.'' We made the RMA 
available for comment along with the proposed rule.\5\ The RMA was also 
submitted for peer review, which occurred concurrently with the public 
comment period for the proposed rule.\6\ The RMA analyzed the potential 
of fresh commercially packed citrus fruit and associated packing 
material to serve as a pathway for the introduction and spread of 
citrus canker into new areas. It also identified and evaluated options 
for regulating the interstate movement of citrus fruit from quarantined 
areas with the goal of reducing the potential for citrus canker 
introduction and spread. The recommendations in the RMA served as the 
basis for the proposed rule.
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    \5\ The RMA is available on the Regulations.gov Web site and in 
our reading room (see ADDRESSES above) and may be obtained from the 
person listed under FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT.
    \6\ The peer review materials for the RMA may be viewed at 
http://www.aphis.usda.gov/peer--review/peer--review--agenda.shtml.
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    To develop the RMA, we reviewed available evidence regarding the 
biology and epidemiology of Xac and the management of citrus canker 
disease. The RMA concluded that the introduction and spread of Xac into 
other commercial citrus-producing States through the movement of 
commercially packed fresh citrus fruit from quarantined areas is 
unlikely because:
     Fresh citrus fruit is produced and harvested using 
techniques that reduce the prevalence of Xac-infected fruit;
     Citrus fruit is commercially packed using techniques that 
reduce the prevalence of infected or contaminated fruit, including 
disinfectant treatment for epiphytic contamination;
     For a successful Xac infection that results in disease 
outbreaks to occur, an unlikely sequence of events would have to occur;
     Reports of citrus canker disease outbreaks linked to fresh 
fruit are absent; and
     Large quantities of fresh citrus fruit shipped from 
regions with Xac have not resulted in any known outbreaks of citrus 
canker disease.
    Nevertheless, the RMA concluded that the evidence is not currently 
sufficient to support a determination that fresh citrus fruit produced 
in a Xac-infested grove cannot serve as a pathway for the introduction 
of Xac into new areas. Therefore, the RMA evaluated several 
packinghouse-centered risk management options for the interstate 
movement of fresh commercially packed citrus fruit from regions 
infested with citrus canker to regions without the disease. These 
packinghouse-centered risk management options were evaluated to 
determine whether they provide an appropriate level of phytosanitary 
protection without the resource constraints and other practical 
considerations that make it difficult to maintain the grove-centered 
regulatory approach in Florida. The risk management options evaluated 
were:
     Option 1: Allow unrestricted distribution of all types and 
varieties of commercially packed citrus fruit to all U.S. States.
     Option 2: Allow distribution of all types and varieties of 
commercially packed citrus fruit to all U.S. States, subject to 
packinghouse treatment with APHIS-approved disinfectant and APHIS 
inspection of finished fruit that has completed the packinghouse 
culling, washing, disinfection, and grading processes.
     Option 3: Allow distribution of all types and varieties of 
commercially packed citrus fruit (except tangerines) in U.S. States 
except commercial citrus-producing States. Allow distribution of 
commercially packed tangerines to all U.S. States, including commercial 
citrus-producing States. Require packinghouse treatment of all such 
citrus fruit with APHIS-approved disinfectant and APHIS inspection of 
finished fruit (all types and varieties) for citrus canker disease 
symptoms.
     Option 4: Allow distribution of all types and varieties of 
commercially packed citrus fruit in U.S. States except commercial 
citrus-producing States and require packinghouse treatment of citrus 
fruit with APHIS-approved disinfectant and APHIS inspection of finished 
fruit (all types and varieties) for citrus canker disease symptoms.
     Option 5: Leave the current regulations for the interstate 
movement of citrus fruit from citrus canker quarantined areas in place 
and unchanged.
    We proposed to implement Option 4. This option would have limited 
distribution of all types and varieties of citrus fruit to States other 
than commercial citrus-producing States, with mitigations conducted at 
packinghouses operating under compliance agreements. Those mitigations 
are the use of an approved disinfectant for all fruit and APHIS 
phytosanitary inspection.
    We received several comments on the overall level of risk 
associated with the movement of commercially packed citrus from a 
citrus canker quarantined area, as well as our selection of Option 4. 
These comments have not led us to change our determination that Option 
4 is the most appropriate option to implement. The RMA that we are 
making available with this final rule contains revisions based on the 
comments we received on the proposed rule and the comments we received 
through the peer review process, but its overall conclusion is the 
same. Accordingly, this final rule implements Option 4. (We are making 
some changes to the regulatory requirements associated with the 
implementation of Option 4. These changes are discussed later in this 
document.)
    Some commenters believed that the evidence presented in the RMA 
warranted the selection of Option 2, which would have allowed the 
distribution of citrus fruit to all States, subject to packinghouse 
treatment with APHIS-approved disinfectant and APHIS inspection of 
finished fruit. These commenters stated that it was extremely unlikely 
that the circumstances necessary for the movement of commercially 
packed fresh citrus fruit to result in the introduction and spread of 
Xac into other commercial citrus-producing States would ever occur.
    One commenter stated that the decision to allow the movement of 
regulated fruit from a citrus canker quarantined area only into States 
other than commercial citrus-producing States, rather than into all 
States, was based on politics rather than on science.
    One commenter stated that no Florida citrus fruit infected with 
citrus canker has ever been found in a commercial citrus-producing 
State under the current regulations and that, at the commenter's 
packinghouse, not a single piece of fruit with citrus canker had been 
found by any inspectors or employees during the last growing season.
    One commenter noted more generally that citrus canker has not been 
found outside Florida since the disease was first detected there, and 
stated that more certainty than uncertainty exists regarding the risk 
of commercially

[[Page 65174]]

packed citrus fruit as a viable pathway for citrus canker.
    Another commenter noted that the PRA stated the following in its 
executive summary: ``The combination of conditions necessary for 
introduction are so difficult to achieve that the likelihood of such 
occurrence is greater than the baseline exposure represented by 
unregulated pathways. The conclusions of the evaluation are reinforced 
by a strong record of empirical data from experience and 
interceptions.''
    We acknowledge the efforts of the Florida citrus industry to put 
safeguards in place against citrus canker infestation. The proposed 
rule recognized the effectiveness of those safeguards by providing for 
the interstate movement to States other than commercial citrus-
producing States of any lot of citrus fruit that is commercially 
packed, treated with APHIS-approved disinfectant, and inspected by 
APHIS and found to be free of visible canker lesions.
    The RMA concludes that commercially packed fresh citrus fruit is an 
unlikely pathway for the introduction and spread of Xac and that a 
phytosanitary inspection ensures, with high confidence, that few 
shipped fruit would have symptoms of citrus canker disease. However, 
the model in Appendix 1 to the RMA indicates the potential for some 
commercially packed fruit with visible canker lesions to be shipped to 
commercial citrus-producing States. That potential for such fruit to 
reach commercial citrus-producing States, coupled with the 
aforementioned uncertainty regarding fruit as a pathway, led to the 
determination that the additional mitigation of prohibiting 
distribution to commercial citrus-producing States was required. If, in 
the future, evidence is developed to support a determination that 
commercially packed citrus fruit (both symptomatic and asymptomatic) is 
not an epidemiologically significant pathway for the introduction and 
spread of citrus canker, we would undertake rulemaking to amend our 
regulations accordingly.
    Under section 412(a) of the Plant Protection Act (7 U.S.C. 
7712(a)), the Secretary of Agriculture may prohibit or restrict the 
movement in interstate commerce of any plant or plant product if the 
Secretary determines that the prohibition or restriction is necessary 
to prevent the dissemination of a plant pest or noxious weed within the 
United States. Based on information provided in the PRA and RMA, we 
have determined that it is not necessary to prohibit the interstate 
movement of citrus fruit from a quarantined area into States other than 
commercial citrus-producing States under the conditions described in 
the proposed rule. While APHIS has concluded that commercially packed 
citrus fruit is an unlikely pathway for the introduction and spread of 
citrus canker, the remaining uncertainty about the level of risk 
associated with the movement of citrus fruit from a quarantined area 
has led us to maintain the prohibition on the movement of citrus fruit 
into commercial citrus-producing States.
    One commenter supplied a report that provided initial data 
demonstrating that transmission of Xac from infected fruit placed 
directly under highly susceptible grapefruit seedlings does not occur.
    The research (which can be viewed at http://www.regulations.gov/
fdmspublic/component/main?main=DocumentDetail&d=APHIS-2007-0022-0053) 
is suggestive; when it is completed, it will help better determine 
whether citrus fruit can serve as a pathway for the introduction of 
citrus canker to commercial citrus-producing States outside the 
quarantined area. We encourage interested parties to make research on 
this issue available to us.
    Two commenters stated that APHIS' treatment of the risk associated 
with citrus canker was inconsistent with its treatment of the risk 
associated with other plant pests. For example, one of the commenters 
stated, the evidence is clear that the interstate movement of nursery 
stock is a pathway for the long-distance spread of P. ramorum, but 
APHIS' regulations continue to allow high-risk nursery stock to move to 
all States, under specified conditions. The commenter cited APHIS' 
actions with respect to the light brown apple moth as another example.
    The provisions governing the movement of regulated articles for 
each pest for which APHIS maintains quarantine requirements are the 
result of separate considerations of the available science and the risk 
posed by the plant pest in question. We make our determinations of risk 
based on, among other things, the likelihood that a pest will follow a 
specific pathway, the economic and environmental value of resources 
that could be damaged by the pest, and the likelihood of introduction 
of the pest into an unaffected area. Our choice of regulatory approach 
is based on, among other things, the likelihood that the mitigations 
available to us will be sufficient to prevent the introduction or 
spread of a plant pest. We have determined that the level of protection 
against the interstate spread of citrus canker that will be provided by 
the regulations as amended by this final rule is appropriate.
    One commenter asked why APHIS allows fruit to be exported from the 
quarantined area into the citrus-producing areas of Europe, given that 
we proposed to prohibit the distribution of fruit from quarantined 
areas into commercial citrus-producing States. Other commenters asked 
that we allow the interstate movement of fruit from quarantined areas 
into commercial citrus-producing States under conditions similar to 
those required by the European Union (EU) for the importation of citrus 
fruit into the EU.
    APHIS certifies U.S. plant products for export according to the 
conditions set by the importing country for the exportation of those 
products from the United States. The EU's requirements for the 
importation of citrus fruit apply to all areas where citrus canker is 
present, not just in the United States but in other countries whose 
citrus production areas are affected by citrus canker.
    The EU import requirements involve certification of grove freedom 
from citrus canker and are similar to, but less restrictive than, the 
requirements that were in the regulations before the publication of 
this final rule. For reasons discussed in the RMA, we do not consider 
these requirements to be sufficient to allow the movement of fruit from 
citrus canker quarantined areas into commercial citrus-producing States 
at this time. We will continue to review the available science and will 
update the regulations if necessary.
    Two commenters stated that Option 3, which would have allowed the 
unlimited distribution of tangerines subject to treatment and APHIS 
inspection, should be implemented. One commenter stated that canker 
finds have been few and far between, if the disease has been found at 
all, on some varieties of tangerine. Another stated that mandarin 
varieties are the least susceptible to citrus canker, and that the 
commercial citrus-producing States of California and Texas are 
important markets for producers of this fruit.
    Tangerines are generally grouped in the species Citrus reticulata 
and are widely regarded as less susceptible to citrus canker disease 
than other commercially grown Citrus species. But many of the 
``tangerine'' varieties grown in Florida are hybrids of C. reticulata 
with other more susceptible Citrus species. Clearly, tangerines in 
Florida are not immune to citrus canker, as APHIS records indicate 
that, during the 2005-2006 growing season grove surveys, Xac was 
detected on 274 samples from tangerine, tangor, and tangelo groves. 
APHIS pest interception data indicate that between 1985 and

[[Page 65175]]

2006, Xac was intercepted 632 times on C. reticulata fruit. The level 
of susceptibility was expressed as a continuum across ``tangerine'' 
varieties rather than as a discrete immunity for all varieties. This 
creates a regulatory problem when an overlap occurs in the level of 
susceptibility expressed by, for example, a more susceptible tangerine 
variety and a more resistant nontangerine citrus variety. Sufficient 
evidence does not exist to exclude tangerines from regulations 
applicable to other Florida citrus varieties. We are making no changes 
to the proposed rule in response to these comments.
    Several commenters supported Option 4 but asked APHIS to continue 
to examine the scientific evidence with a view toward allowing 
unlimited distribution of fruit moved interstate from areas quarantined 
for citrus canker at some future time.
    We will continue to examine scientific evidence regarding whether 
commercially packed citrus fruit (both with and without visible canker 
lesions) is an epidemiologically significant pathway for the 
introduction and spread of citrus canker. If, in the future, evidence 
is developed to support a determination that commercially packed citrus 
fruit is not an epidemiologically significant pathway for the 
introduction and spread of citrus canker, we would undertake rulemaking 
to amend our regulations accordingly.
    Some commenters proposed other options to allow the movement of 
fruit from quarantined areas. One commenter stated that fruit from 
groves that are free of citrus canker and that are 1,500 feet or 
farther from an affected grove should be allowed to move fruit to 
commercial citrus-producing States.
    It has been our experience in the State of Florida that citrus 
canker can spread more than 1,500 feet in stormy conditions. We 
recognize that citrus canker-free areas may exist adjacent to infected 
areas, but implementing the commenter's suggestion would require grove 
certification programs similar to those in place prior to the 
publication of this final rule. We have determined that certification 
of fruit for interstate movement at the packinghouse level rather than 
at the grove level will ensure an appropriate level of phytosanitary 
security; would be more reliable and less easily circumvented than the 
preharvest grove survey required by Option 5; would be consistent with 
the risk associated with citrus canker and commercially packed fruit 
from Florida; and would be easier and potentially less costly to 
implement and enforce than a grove-centered system of mitigations.
    Some commenters disagreed with our determination that prohibiting 
the distribution of citrus fruit from a quarantined area into 
commercial citrus-producing States would be an effective mitigation. 
Commenters holding this view stated that the illegal movement of citrus 
fruit harboring citrus canker from a quarantined area to a commercial 
citrus-producing State may be expected through current commercial 
channels; they cited the movement of Spanish clementines from Georgia 
to Florida through retailer distribution when such movement was 
prohibited as one example of the potential for incorrect distribution. 
Another commenter cited the discovery of Florida fruit in commercial 
citrus-producing States as a result of distribution mistakes.
    These commenters also stated that the potential for the movement of 
Florida citrus by tourists and visitors from nearby States into 
commercial citrus-producing States should also be taken into account, 
and that excluding shipments to buffer States would reduce the risk 
that this movement poses to commercial citrus-producing States. One 
commenter stated that the history of citrus disease movement such as 
citrus canker and citrus greening into Florida shows the high risk of 
movement by plant or by fruit from other citrus-growing countries. In 
these cases the initial infections were in urban areas, but movement to 
production areas was undetected until an epidemic was finally observed.
    One commenter also stated that we had not addressed mail-order 
shipment or gift-pack movement of citrus from Florida.
    These commenters proposed that we limit the distribution of fruit 
from citrus canker quarantined areas to other States in addition to the 
commercial citrus-producing States, thus creating a ``buffer zone'' 
around the commercial citrus-producing States. The buffer zones 
proposed by the commenters varied:
     One commenter suggested that only States east of the 
Mississippi River should be eligible to receive fruit moved interstate 
from quarantined areas.
     Two commenters suggested that only States in the northern 
tier of the United States and east of the Mississippi River should be 
eligible to receive such fruit.
     Two others suggested a buffer zone of all the States 
surrounding the commercial citrus-producing States.
    We do not agree that a buffer zone, such as these commenters 
suggest, is appropriate or necessary. Due to the geographic separation 
between Florida and other commercial citrus-producing States, citrus 
canker is not likely to spread through natural means (such as through 
storms) from Florida to a State that is not a commercial citrus-
producing State and then to a commercial citrus-producing State. While 
it is correct that the movement of plants for planting presents a high 
risk of spreading citrus canker from a quarantined area, the 
regulations already contain a prohibition on the movement of plants for 
planting; currently, only calamondin and kumquat plants are allowed to 
move interstate from the quarantined area, and those plants must be 
produced under conditions designed to prevent their infection with 
citrus canker. As mentioned earlier, we have determined that it is 
unlikely that the movement of commercially packed citrus fruit is an 
epidemiologically significant pathway for the spread of citrus canker.
    The proposed rule included requirements that boxes or other 
containers of fruit moving interstate from a quarantined area include a 
limited permit mark as well as the statement indicating that the fruit 
is not to be distributed into a commercial citrus-producing State. This 
requirement (which applies to mail-order and gift-pack shipments as 
well as truck shipments) will help to prevent inadvertent movement of 
citrus from quarantined areas into a commercial citrus-producing State. 
To strengthen the protection provided by the limited permit 
requirement, we are also adding a requirement in this final rule that 
the limited permit mark and the distribution statement appear on any 
shipping documents accompanying boxes or other containers in which 
fruit is moved interstate.
    To ensure that regulated parties comply with distribution 
restrictions, APHIS routinely monitors wholesalers and fresh fruit 
markets in commercial citrus-producing States and monitors distribution 
routes that are bound for commercial citrus-producing States to ensure 
that Florida citrus fruit does not unlawfully enter those States. This 
monitoring is conducted primarily by APHIS' Smuggling, Interdiction, 
and Trade Compliance program.
    If we find Florida citrus in a commercial citrus-producing State, 
we will trace the product back to its distributor and its origin in 
Florida. We will investigate violations (through APHIS' Investigative 
and Enforcement Services) and may seek penalties against any 
distributor that moves Florida citrus to commercial citrus-producing 
States. We may seize the prohibited products and destroy them or ensure 
they are moved from the area of concern. We

[[Page 65176]]

will conduct surveillance on other methods of sale such as Internet 
sales and gift-pack shipments to ensure that the fruit is not 
advertised as being available for delivery to commercial citrus-
producing States. We will also provide outreach to retailers and 
wholesalers who are moving products to help prevent any inadvertent 
movement of citrus from a quarantined area into a commercial citrus-
producing State.
    The packinghouse measures of disinfection and APHIS inspection 
ensure that even if a given shipment were illegally moved to a 
commercial citrus-producing State, the shipment would have a low 
likelihood of containing fruit with the potential to cause an outbreak 
of citrus canker disease.
    As mentioned earlier, the RMA examined four options for allowing 
the interstate movement of citrus fruit from a citrus canker 
quarantined area under a packinghouse-centered approach. Of those four 
options, we determined that Option 4 was most appropriate, based on the 
available scientific evidence, which indicates that fruit subject to 
commercial packing, treatment, and APHIS inspection will be unlikely to 
serve as a pathway for the introduction or spread of citrus canker.
    We recognize that individual consumers may move fruit from Florida 
into States other than commercial citrus-producing States and then 
subsequently move that fruit into commercial citrus-producing States. 
However, such movement could have occurred under the regulations in 
place before the publication of this final rule as well; APHIS does not 
have the regulatory infrastructure to monitor interstate movement of 
fruit by individual consumers. Additionally, even with a buffer zone in 
place, tourists and visitors would often travel across multiple States 
to reach their destinations, meaning that a buffer zone would not be 
highly effective at eliminating this consumer movement. For tourists 
and visitors, as well as for local residents who routinely move between 
commercial citrus-producing States and other States, the distance 
between the borders of commercial citrus-producing States and the 
citrus-producing areas within those States acts as a buffer as well, 
further decreasing the risk associated with such movement. Finally, the 
volume of such movement is extremely low when compared with the volume 
of commercial movement of fruit, making the risk of citrus canker 
establishment in commercial citrus-producing States through this 
scenario highly unlikely. These factors, combined with our 
determination that the introduction and spread of Xac into other 
commercial citrus-producing States through the movement of commercially 
packed fresh citrus fruit is unlikely and that the mitigations of 
treatment and APHIS inspection are highly effective, have led us to 
determine that a buffer zone to address such movement is unnecessary.

Scientific Evidence Used in the PRA and RMA

    We received several general comments on the scientific evidence we 
used to make our determinations in the PRA and RMA. One commenter 
stated that the conclusion reached by the RMA is in part based on the 
lack of evidence that citrus fruit could play a role in the 
introduction of citrus canker in new areas, but that this lack of 
evidence is a consequence of the lack of scientific studies and is not 
based on scientific data; this commenter suggested that we evaluate the 
risks further using fruit produced subject to the regulations that were 
in place before the publication of this final rule. Another commenter 
suggested an extensive list of experimental data that the commenter 
believed were necessary to prove that the introduction and spread of 
Xac into other commercial citrus-producing States through the 
interstate movement of commercially packed fresh citrus fruit from a 
quarantined area is unlikely. One commenter stated that this program, 
which the commenter characterized as precedent-setting, requires a much 
more solid foundation of science and process affirmation than has been 
developed to date. Other commenters stated that not enough of the 
evidence we used in developing the RMA had been published in peer-
reviewed scientific journals and that we had relied too much on 
preliminary research in making our determinations.
    We used the best scientific evidence available to develop the PRA 
and the RMA, and we have detailed extensively how this evidence 
supports the conclusions we present in those documents. It is important 
to note that, based on the available evidence, we did not conclude that 
commercially packed citrus fruit could not serve as a pathway for the 
introduction and spread of Xac, but rather that it was unlikely that 
commercially packed citrus fruit serves as an epidemiologically 
significant pathway. That is why this final rule prohibits the 
distribution of such fruit to commercial citrus-producing States.
    The Plant Protection Act charges us with ensuring that our 
decisions affecting imports, exports, and interstate movement of plants 
and plant products that we regulate under the Act are based on sound 
science. To fulfill this mission, we use all the scientific evidence 
that may be brought to bear on an issue, not just studies published in 
peer-reviewed journals. Observations based on APHIS' experience, survey 
and pest detection data, and preliminary experimental results can all 
provide valuable information to inform a regulatory decision, and we 
have used them in the PRA and RMA when appropriate. Having said that, 
the vast majority of the sources cited in the PRA and RMA have been 
peer-reviewed, as have both the PRA and RMA themselves.
    Comments on specific studies we cited in the RMA and PRA are 
discussed later in this document.
    The peer review for the RMA was conducted concurrently with the 
comment period for the proposed rule. One commenter stated that 
stakeholders should have the opportunity to review the peer reviewers' 
comments when submitting their own comments on this document.
    We appreciate the commenter's concerns. APHIS had already provided 
for peer review of and public comment on the PRA, which informed the 
development of the RMA. In accordance with the Office of Management and 
Budget's bulletin on peer review, we are also making all the materials 
associated with the peer review, including the peer reviewers' 
comments, available at http://www.aphis.usda.gov/peer--review/peer--
review--agenda.shtml. The conclusion of the RMA did not change as a 
result of the peer review, which was generally favorable.
    One commenter included a late comment on the PRA as a reference, 
stating that APHIS had not made appropriate changes to the PRA based on 
the comment.
    We reviewed the comment that the commenter included when we 
developed the revised version of the PRA. We addressed all the 
substantive points raised by that comment in the revised version of the 
PRA published with the proposed rule. Many of the points raised by that 
comment had been previously raised in other comments submitted on the 
PRA during the comment period.
    As discussed earlier, the PRA concluded that asymptomatic, 
commercially produced citrus fruit treated with a surface disinfectant 
and subject to other mitigations is not epidemiologically significant 
as a pathway for the introduction and spread of citrus canker. However, 
in order to apply the conclusions of the PRA, we determined that we 
needed to extend its application to evaluate methods by

[[Page 65177]]

which fruit could be produced, treated, inspected, packaged, and 
shipped without resulting in the spread of citrus canker to commercial 
citrus-producing areas. Accordingly, the RMA addresses the risk 
associated with all commercially packed fruit; the RMA's 
recommendations have served as the basis for the Secretary's 
determination that it is not necessary to prohibit the interstate 
movement of citrus fruit from a quarantined area into States other than 
commercial citrus-producing States under the conditions described in 
the proposed rule. Therefore, specifically addressing comments on the 
PRA is unnecessary for the purposes of this rulemaking.

The Packinghouse-Centered Approach and the Current Regulations

    In evaluating the risk associated with asymptomatic fruit, the PRA 
assumed that the citrus fruit in question was commercially produced 
under a specific set of pest management measures. The RMA, while 
recognizing that effective pest management measures for Xac are 
available to private and commercial growers and are normal production 
practices for many of these growers, does not assume that measures in 
the grove are mandatory. Instead, the RMA focuses on treatment with an 
APHIS-approved disinfectant at the packinghouse and APHIS inspection of 
fruit to be moved interstate. The recommendations in the RMA served as 
the basis for the proposed rule.
    The regulations in place at the time the proposed rule was 
published required that fruit moved interstate originate in a grove 
that was found by an inspector to be free of citrus canker no more than 
30 days before harvest (with additional requirements for limes), in 
addition to treatment of vehicles, equipment, and other articles that 
are used on the grove and treatment of the fruit itself.
    Several commenters objected to APHIS moving away from the grove 
inspection approach and to the fact that we did not propose to require 
the use of the commercial production practices described in both the 
PRA and the RMA. These commenters stated that, under the proposed rule, 
measures such as copper sprays, designation and exclusion of infected 
trees, field culling of fruit, and packinghouse culling of fruit were 
all voluntary, and their effectiveness was unknown. The commenters 
expressed concern that not requiring these measures would increase the 
risk associated with citrus fruit moved interstate from a quarantined 
area.
    One commenter stated that in other countries such as Argentina that 
ship fruit to citrus-producing countries in Europe, strict guidelines 
are followed that include field inspections and the planting of wind 
breaks between orchards that minimize wind velocity and subsequent 
dispersal of inoculum. The commenter stated that these countries 
realize that inspection of ``finished'' fruit in the packinghouse alone 
is not enough to guarantee the shipment of disease-free fruit.
    One commenter stated that the objective of a rule addressing 
Florida's situation should be to prevent citrus canker from being 
introduced into disease-free areas in the United States; such a rule 
should not be designed with the primary objective of allowing shipments 
of fresh fruit from canker-affected areas. This commenter stated that 
the building blocks of premises and assumptions set forth in the 
proposed rule and the RMA create risk rather than develop protective 
barriers.
    The regulations promulgated in this final rule include protective 
barriers against the introduction of citrus canker into other citrus-
producing areas: Treatment with a surface disinfectant, APHIS 
inspection, and a prohibition of the movement of citrus fruit from a 
quarantined area into commercial citrus-producing States. We have 
determined that these barriers provide an appropriate level of 
protection with regard to the movement of citrus fruit from areas 
quarantined for citrus canker.
    The grove certification requirement in place prior to the 
publication of this final rule and the APHIS packinghouse inspection 
required under this final rule are not dissimilar in their approach to 
preventing the interstate movement of fruit with visible canker 
lesions. Under the regulations in place before the publication of this 
final rule, none of the grove-centered measures cited by the commenters 
(copper sprays, designation and exclusion of infected trees, and field 
culling of fruit) were required. Rather, growers were required to 
demonstrate that their groves were free from citrus canker, on the 
basis of an inspection. In order to be found free from citrus canker, 
and thus have fruit from their groves be eligible for the interstate 
market, growers had incentives to employ the grove-centered measures 
described in the PRA and RMA and mentioned by the commenters.
    Instead of a grove inspection, this final rule requires an 
inspection of the finished fruit at the packinghouse, which must 
operate under a compliance agreement and treat fruit with an approved 
surface disinfectant. Every lot of fruit must be inspected by an APHIS 
inspector for visible canker lesions. While growers are not required to 
practice measures that would reduce the prevalence of citrus canker in 
their fruit, and packinghouses are not required to perform their own 
culling process to remove fruit with visible canker lesions, the 
regulations promulgated in this final rule still provide them with a 
strong incentive to do so, since lots of fruit that fail APHIS 
inspection will not be eligible for interstate movement. Additionally, 
packinghouse culling for blemished fruit of any kind is already a 
standard business practice, and field management programs that include 
the use of copper sprays and field sanitation are already available to 
producers.
    The purpose of the APHIS inspection at the packinghouses is to 
ensure that fruit moved interstate is free of visible canker lesions, 
and to prohibit the interstate movement of fruit that is not free of 
those lesions. From each lot of fruit intended for interstate movement, 
APHIS will inspect a quantity that is sufficient to detect, with a 95 
percent level of confidence, any lot of fruit containing 0.38 percent 
or more fruit with visible canker lesions. Lots of fruit that fail 
inspection will not be allowed to enter interstate commerce.
    A packinghouse-based inspection can ensure an appropriate level of 
phytosanitary security and will be easier to implement and enforce than 
the grove certification system in place before the publication of this 
final rule. Because it focuses on the end product, a packinghouse-based 
inspection will be more reliable and less easily circumvented than the 
preharvest grove survey that has been required in the regulations. A 
packinghouse-based inspection is also consistent with the risk 
associated with citrus canker and commercially packed fruit from 
Florida. In addition, a phytosanitary packinghouse inspection creates a 
performance standard for packed fruit that allows citrus producers 
greater flexibility to determine the most efficient and effective means 
of producing a compliant product.
    Our choice of a packinghouse-based APHIS inspection as a means to 
prevent fruit with visible canker lesions from being moved interstate, 
rather than requiring specific grove and packinghouse practices to 
ensure the production of fruit free of visible canker lesions, is 
consistent with the recommendations of the 1997 Presidential/
Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management. The 
commission recommended that agencies use alternatives to command-and-
control

[[Page 65178]]

measures that dictate the use of specific technologies, where 
applicable (CRARM 1997), in order to encourage flexibility in the 
choice of risk management alternatives.
    One commenter characterized the approach of the proposed rule as a 
control point approach, and stated that in the past APHIS has applied 
control point approaches only to quarantine treatments that are able to 
demonstrate a probit 9 level of effectiveness.
    The probit 9 standard (99.997 percent mortality) applies to 
treatments for insect pests such as fruit flies, not to treatment of 
pathogens. In any case, the probit 9 standard is not applicable for the 
surface disinfectant treatment and packinghouse-based APHIS inspection 
that we are requiring. Scientific evidence indicates that both of these 
measures are highly effective.
    One commenter stated that the PRA and RMA appeared to imply that 
packinghouse studies conducted to date were based upon fruit with known 
levels of contamination with Xac. The commenter asked how the 
packinghouse inspection process would achieve the results described in 
the RMA without grove inspections and without the ability to determine 
the infection pressure. The commenter also asked how the proposed 
measures can be effective without knowing the magnitude of the hazard, 
as expressed by the proportion of infected fruit.
    Both of the packinghouse measures that we are requiring in this 
final rule are effective regardless of infection pressure. The surface 
disinfectant treatments approved by APHIS reduce numbers of Xac cells 
to low or undetectable levels. The APHIS packinghouse-based inspection 
is sufficient to detect, with a 95 percent level of confidence, any lot 
of fruit containing 0.38 percent or more fruit with visible canker 
lesions. In other words, if the infection pressure is higher than 0.38 
percent of the fruit, it is 95 percent likely that the lot will be 
rejected from interstate commerce.
    Two commenters cited findings of canker symptoms on fruit exported 
from Argentina and Uruguay to Spain in stating that symptomatic fruit 
will often pass through the packinghouse process. These commenters 
stated that the price growers and packers are receiving for citrus is 
what drives the quality of the citrus shipped, and that with low 
prices, low-quality fruit, such as those with canker, are more likely 
to be introduced into distribution channels.
    We agree that, in general, price helps to determine the quality of 
fruit supplied. However, under the regulations established by this 
final rule, the fruit will be subject to an additional APHIS inspection 
separate from any field inspection and culling or packinghouse culling 
that may occur. Any lot that fails APHIS inspection will not be 
approved to move for interstate commerce. Given that, if there is a 
financial advantage to being able to supply fresh citrus to the 
interstate market, producers and packinghouses in quarantined areas are 
likely to employ measures and processes that will allow them to supply 
fruit free of visible canker lesions for APHIS inspection.

Treatments and Surface Contamination With Xac

    The regulations require all fruit moved interstate from an area 
quarantined for citrus canker to be treated in accordance with Sec.  
301.75-11(a). This paragraph has included two treatments: Thorough 
wetting for at least 2 minutes with a solution containing 200 parts per 
million (ppm) sodium hypochlorite, with the solution maintained at a pH 
of 6.0 to 7.5; or thorough wetting with a solution containing sodium-o-
phenyl phenate (SOPP) at a concentration of 1.86 to 2.0 percent of the 
total solution, for 45 seconds if the solution has sufficient soap or 
detergent to cause a visible foaming action or for 1 minute if the 
solution does not contain sufficient soap to cause a visible foaming 
action.
    One commenter noted that disinfectants are only effective if the 
active ingredient is not degraded. The commenter gave the example that 
sodium hypochlorite is degraded by sunlight and organic matter.
    We agree with the commenter's point that it is important to ensure 
that the treatment is conducted properly. APHIS regularly monitors the 
treatment of fruit to ensure that the disinfectant agent is at the 
proper concentration and, in the case of sodium hypochlorite, pH, thus 
ensuring the effectiveness of the treatment. Under this final rule, we 
will conduct monitoring under conditions specified in the compliance 
agreements with packinghouses.
    In this final rule, we are amending the treatment regulations to 
require fruit to be treated at a commercial packinghouse whose owner 
operates under a compliance agreement. Previously, the regulations had 
required that treatment be performed either in the presence of an 
inspector or at a facility whose owner operates under a compliance 
agreement under Sec.  301.75-7(a)(2); this change will reflect the fact 
that all fruit intended for interstate movement must be treated at a 
commercial packinghouse under this final rule.
    Several commenters stated that these surface disinfectant 
treatments may not be 100 percent effective, citing various reports 
that indicated that bacteria could be recovered from citrus fruit that 
had been treated with sodium hypochlorite or SOPP, including reports by 
Verdier (2006) and Golmohammadi (2007) and a newspaper article 
reporting on a lecture by Gottwald in which he presented unpublished 
preliminary results. With regard to the last of these, two commenters 
requested that we provide information about the followup studies 
mentioned in the article.
    As stated in the RMA, the surface disinfectant treatments approved 
by APHIS reduce numbers of Xac cells to low or undetectable levels, but 
do not necessarily provide complete eradication. The evidence cited by 
the RMA does demonstrate that the treatments allowed under the rule 
substantially reduce bacterial populations, including Xac, found on the 
surface of citrus fruit to the extent practicable using surface 
disinfectant treatments currently registered for use in the United 
States on raw fruits and vegetables.
    Recovery of Xac from fruit after surface disinfectant treatment 
does not demonstrate that the treatment is ineffective. Microbial 
detection or recovery tests simply measure the presence or absence of 
the organism in a sample and do not enumerate or measure the difference 
between the pre- and post-treatment bacteria population levels or 
infectivity. The treatments in the regulations are consistently 
reported as dramatically reducing Xac populations on the surface of 
fruit, if not eliminating them entirely. For example, Verdier (2006), 
cited by the commenters, measured the pre- and post-treatment levels in 
the wash solution and found that the bacteria population level was 
reduced 99.8 percent from an average of 39.4 colony-forming units 
(cfu)/mL on untreated controls to an average of 0.06 cfu/mL on treated 
fruit.
    The information from Gottwald (2006) the commenters cite has not 
been published, and the followup studies referred to in news reports 
are currently being completed. We are not able to obtain the 
unpublished data that have been collected to this point. We will review 
the Gottwald information when it becomes available in final form. It is 
important to note again that the recovery of some bacteria after 
treatment is not inconsistent with treatment being highly effective at 
reducing Xac population levels, as described earlier.
    Another commenter, referring to a study by Brown and Schubert 
(1987)

[[Page 65179]]

that the RMA cited, stated that the study's use of Xanthomonas 
campestris pv. vesicatoria as a proxy for X. axonopodis pv. citri in 
assessing the efficacy of SOPP was not appropriate, because the 
behavior of closely related bacteria may be very different.
    The use of a proxy in efficacy testing is not unusual; for example, 
the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) requirements for testing the 
efficacy of disinfectants allow the use of a proxy. A proxy organism 
was used in this study because the study was conducted in a model 
packinghouse. It is difficult to experiment with quarantine plant 
pathogens in the field because of the need to provide safeguards 
against their spread. While the bacteria in question are not identical, 
SOPP has a broad range of efficacy; there is no reason to believe that 
some feature of Xac would defeat the mechanism of SOPP. In addition, 
the RMA cited other studies establishing the efficacy of SOPP as a 
treatment against Xac itself.
    The PRA contained the following statement regarding treatment 
effectiveness: ``Studies performed in Argentina on the effectiveness of 
sodium hypochlorite on mature symptomless fruit artificially 
contaminated with Xac showed that sodium hypochlorite levels as low as 
8 ppm were effective in eliminating epiphytic or surface bacteria from 
the fruit (Canteros, undated).'' One commenter stated that there were 
no references about the viability of the bacteria, which is an 
important factor for risk assessment.
    This particular study was one of many studies cited in the PRA and 
RMA establishing the effectiveness of sodium hypochlorite as a 
treatment. Other studies we cited included references about the 
viability of the bacteria.
    Related to the presence of bacteria on the surface of treated fruit 
(also referred to as epiphytic bacteria or contamination), several 
commenters stated that fruit with such populations pose a risk of 
spreading citrus canker that was not addressed by the measures 
recommended in the RMA.
    While surface populations of Xac undoubtedly exist on some citrus 
fruit that is packed in a quarantined area, and commenters cited 
scientific evidence establishing this point, substantial evidence 
indicates that surface bacterial populations do not infect mature fruit 
or survive on mature fruit long enough to infect other hosts. The 
evidence cited in the RMA regarding epiphytic survival indicates that 
epiphytic populations on harvested, mature fruit decline rapidly. For 
example, researchers in Brazil sprayed asymptomatic fruit, picked from 
trees, with a bacterial suspension of 106 cfu/mL; no 
bacteria were recovered after 5 days at room temperature under 
laboratory conditions (Belasque and Rodriguez Neto 2000). Epiphytic 
bacteria do not multiply in water on leaf surfaces or on dry leaves 
(Timmer et al. 1996). Graham et al. (2000) found that Xac survived for 
48 to 72 hours on a variety of inanimate surfaces in sun or shade, 
respectively. Additionally, there is no authenticated record of 
movement of diseased fruit as the origin for a citrus canker disease 
outbreak, which is especially suggestive given the brisk global trade 
in such fruit and the likely presence of some level of epiphytic 
bacteria on many fruit that is exported from citrus canker-affected 
areas.
    Commenting on the PRA, one commenter noted that a low concentration 
of 8 cfu/mL (cited as a result of treatment by one study) may mean very 
high numbers of bacteria in tons of fruit.
    The commenter's assertion is correct. However, shipments of fruit 
are commercially packed in boxes or other approved containers and are 
dispersed through market channels all over the United States, greatly 
diluting the concentration of bacteria which are at the same time 
experiencing rapid mortality. Therefore, such bacterial concentrations 
would not occur in the real world. In any case, for the reasons stated 
above, we have determined that fruit with epiphytic bacterial 
populations is not an epidemiologically significant pathway for the 
spread of citrus canker.
    Some commenters were also concerned about the possible presence of 
Xac on other materials, citing reports of Xac survival for various 
periods on media like clean microscopic slides; leaf surfaces, plastic, 
wood, and other materials; cloth, sawdust and shavings, dried herbarium 
tissue, and sterile soil; and non-host weeds.
    While Xac undoubtedly persists on a number of surfaces, it does not 
multiply outside of hosts. Under the regulations, the interstate 
movement of any regulated article other than fruit, calamondin and 
kumquat plants, and seed is prohibited. Regulated articles include 
leaves and grass clippings. In addition, under paragraph (c) of Sec.  
301.75-3, an inspector may designate any other product, article, or 
means of conveyance, of any character whatsoever as a regulated article 
when it is determined by an inspector that it presents a risk of spread 
of citrus canker and the person in possession thereof has actual notice 
that the product, article, or means of conveyance is subject to the 
provisions of this subpart. We do not typically regulate the movement 
of the other articles cited by the commenters under the current 
regulations because populations of Xac on such articles are very 
unlikely to infect mature citrus fruit.
    Two commenters were concerned about the possibility that canker-
infected fruit could contaminate packinghouse equipment with Xac. One 
commenter stated that packinghouse equipment needs to be disinfected if 
citrus canker is found in a lot run on that equipment. The other 
expressed a specific concern about contamination of existing wounds in 
fruit and stated that surface disinfestation cannot be continuously 
done during the commercial packing of fruit where both diseased and 
healthy fruit are being packed. This commenter suggested that we amend 
the regulations to exclude fruit from being packed from orchards or 
harvested fruit lots with an incidence of citrus canker above some 
established threshold, in order to minimize contamination of packing 
lines.
    We acknowledge that infected fruit in a lot could contaminate the 
packing line with Xac, but, as stated above, substantial evidence 
indicates that the epiphytic bacterial populations that could be 
transferred from the packing line to the fruit do not infect mature 
fruit or survive on mature fruit long enough to infect other hosts. For 
that reason, we have determined that grove inspections are not 
necessary to mitigate the risk associated with such contamination, nor 
is disinfection of the packing line equipment necessary if canker is 
found during the inspection of a lot of fruit.
    The RMA stated that ``Bacteria within lesions may be more protected 
from the detrimental effects of washing, disinfection and drying. 
Viable Xac has been recovered by APHIS pathologists from citrus canker 
lesions on fruit culled from packinghouse lines after postharvest 
treatments (Riley 2007).'' A few commenters expressed concern relating 
to this statement. One stated that chlorine is well known as a surface 
sanitizer but has no ability to penetrate beyond the surface--for 
example, into lesions. Another commenter noted that none of the 
experiments mentioned in the PRA or RMA evaluate the effect of 
disinfectants on Xac within the fruit, either in visible lesions (of 
any size) or in circumstances where the effects of Xac are not visible 
to the naked eye. The third, reacting to the statement about recovery 
of viable Xac by APHIS pathologists after postharvest treatments, asked 
what treatment had been performed, what level of recovery

[[Page 65180]]

had occurred, what preharvest management the fruits were subject to, 
why the fruits were not culled on the packing line before treatment, 
and whether the postharvest treatment included wax.
    As stated earlier, the surface disinfectant treatments required in 
this final rule reduce numbers of Xac cells to low or undetectable 
levels. The RMA acknowledges that treatment with surface disinfectants 
is not effective on canker lesions, which is why this final rule also 
requires an APHIS inspection of each lot of fruit for canker lesions.
    The canker lesions referred to in Riley (2007) occurred in fruit 
produced under the regulations that were in place before the 
publication of this final rule, i.e., with certification of grove 
freedom and with surface disinfectant treatment. As the regulations in 
place before the publication of this final rule did not require 
specific canker management measures, we do not have records of what 
canker management measures the fruit may have been subject to beyond 
the measures required by the regulations.

Addition of Peroxyacetic Acid Treatment

    We proposed to add a new surface disinfectant treatment using 
peroxyacetic acid (PAA). The proposed rule would have required the 
regulated fruit to be thoroughly wetted for at least 1 minute with a 
solution containing 85 ppm peroxyacetic acid. At the request of growers 
in Florida, we evaluated the efficacy of this treatment and determined 
that the disinfectant is at least as efficacious as a surface 
disinfectant treatment as the currently approved disinfectants listed 
in the regulations. In the RMA, we described the tests that had been 
performed to confirm the efficacy of PAA. These tests were conducted on 
X. axonopodis pv. citrumelo (Xa citrumelo), which was used as a 
surrogate for X. axonopodis pv. citri (i.e., Xac).
    Two commenters stated that PAA should be tested on Xac itself 
rather than on a surrogate. One stated that Xa citrumelo does not 
infect fruit and does not survive in orchards, making it a poor 
surrogate, and asked that we make the data referred to in the RMA 
publicly available. Another stated that, while it seems highly likely 
that PAA may be effective against Xac, to allow its use without any 
testing against the particular organism of concern appears to be 
unnecessarily optimistic. The commenter recommended testing in field 
conditions for this application or at least to demand post-introduction 
testing to demonstrate efficacy in the field.
    We are making the data on PAA testing available on the 
Regulations.gov Web site with this final rule (see footnote 1 at the 
beginning of this final rule) or from the person listed under FOR 
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT.
    As noted earlier in this document, the use of a proxy or surrogate 
is not unusual when testing a treatment's efficacy on a quarantine 
pathogen. The EPA label for PAA, which states the approved instructions 
for use and applicability of the disinfectant, acknowledges that it was 
tested on Xa citrumelo as a surrogate for Xac.
    X. axonopodis pv. citrumelo and X. axonopodis pv. citri differ 
primarily in the hosts they infect. (``pv.'' stands for ``pathovar,'' 
which distinguishes strains or subspecies of the same bacteria based on 
their ability to only infect specific hosts.) X. axonopodis pv. 
citrumelo is generally considered to be more resistant to disinfection 
than X. axonopodis pv. citri, making the former a suitable surrogate 
for the latter.
    In addition, PAA is an oxidizing agent whose mode of action has 
been shown to be effective on many bacteria, including Bacillus cereus, 
B. subtilis, B. stearothermophilus, Clostridium botulinum, C. 
butyricum, C. sporogenes, Ditylenchus dipsaci, Enterococcus faecium, 
Escherichia coli (including E. coli O157:H7), Fusarium oxysporum, 
Gluconobacter oxydans, Lactobacillus plantarum, L. thermophilus, 
Leuconostoc mesenteroides, Listeria monocytogenes, Pseudomonas 
aeruginosa, P. fluorescens, Saccharomyces cerevisiae, Salmonella 
typhimurium, Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus delbreuckii subsp. 
bulgaricus, and Yersinia enterocolitica. Based on PAA's characteristics 
as a general disinfectant and the results of the testing on Xa 
citrumelo, we have determined that PAA will be effective on Xac as 
well, and we are adding PAA as a surface disinfectant treatment for 
fruit in this final rule.
    We are making three other changes related to PAA. While paragraph 
(a) of Sec.  301.75-11 sets out treatments for fruit, paragraph (d) of 
that section sets out requirements for treatment of vehicles, 
equipment, and other articles. A solution of 85 ppm of PAA is also 
effective when used on vehicles, equipment, and other articles, and the 
availability of PAA as a treatment for packing line equipment would be 
useful for packinghouses in the quarantined area to fulfill the 
requirements in Sec.  301.75-7(c)(2)(iv) for disinfection of packing 
equipment between packing lots of regulated fruit produced in a 
quarantined area and packing lots of fruit not produced in a 
quarantined area. Therefore, this final rule also adds PAA, when used 
indoors, as an approved treatment for vehicles, equipment, and other 
articles in paragraph (d) of Sec.  301.75-11. We may decide to add PAA 
as a treatment for outdoor use in a separate rulemaking if we receive 
requests to do so.
    The proposed rule would have added PAA as a fruit treatment in a 
new paragraph (a)(4) in Sec.  301.75-11. Paragraphs (a)(1) and (a)(2) 
authorize the use of sodium hypochlorite and SOPP, respectively, as 
treatments for fruit; paragraph (a)(3) requires that these two surface 
disinfectants be applied in accordance with label directions. Instead 
of adding PAA in a new paragraph (a)(4), we have redesignated paragraph 
(a)(3) as (a)(4), added PAA in paragraph (a)(3), and amended paragraph 
(a)(4) to indicate that PAA must be applied in accordance with label 
directions as well.
    The regulations in 7 CFR part 305 set out the requirements for 
phytosanitary treatments. Section 305.11 contains the two treatments 
that have been authorized for citrus fruit moved from a citrus canker 
quarantined area. Accordingly, in this final rule, we are amending that 
section to add PAA as a treatment for fruit.

Inspection and Potential for Mature Fruit Without Visible Lesions To 
Serve as Pathway for Infection

    As mentioned earlier in this document, the PRA examined the risks 
associated with asymptomatic fruit. The PRA used the term 
``asymptomatic'' to refer to the lack of visible signs or symptoms of 
citrus canker. The RMA examined the risks associated with all fruit 
that has been commercially packed, regardless of its disease status. We 
also prepared a quantitative model (Appendix 1 to the RMA) based on 
Florida production and shipping data to evaluate the efficacy of three 
levels of phytosanitary inspection in ensuring that symptomatic fruit 
does not enter commercial citrus-producing States. In the qualitative 
model, we defined ``symptomatic'' as meaning that the fruit have 
visible Xac lesions 1 millimeter (mm) in diameter and greater. One 
commenter pointed out that these terms were used inconsistently in the 
PRA and the RMA.
    We appreciate the comment. In the version of the RMA that 
accompanies this final rule, Appendix 1 refers to fruit that have 
visible canker lesions and fruit that do not, rather than to 
symptomatic and asymptomatic fruit.

[[Page 65181]]

    This commenter further stated that the proposed APHIS inspections 
of fruit target only relatively large symptoms readily visible to the 
naked eye, not whether any bacteria are present on the fruit. While the 
APHIS inspection is probably fairly effective at limiting the 
occurrence of larger Xac lesions in marketed fruit, the commenter 
stated, inspection is totally ineffective at detecting and limiting 
lesions smaller than 1 mm or at detecting Xac-infected fruit that have 
no visible lesions at the time of inspection. This commenter and other 
commenters also addressed surface populations of bacteria, stating that 
focusing inspection efforts on visible lesions ignores risk associated 
with bacteria.
    We addressed the risk associated with epiphytic bacterial 
populations earlier in this document. We have determined that the other 
situations described by these commenters are unlikely to occur outside 
of an experimental setting. The reasoning behind this determination is 
discussed below.
    Small lesions (less than 1 mm). Commenters cited Koizumi (1972), in 
which Satsuma mandarin were either prick inoculated with Xac or 
naturally infected. The experimenter found that, in addition to lesions 
greater than 1 mm, lesions referred to as ``late detection (small)'' of 
a size of 0.1 to 0.15 mm also occurred. This would be below what we 
have determined to be the size threshold for a detectable lesion, as 
defined in Appendix 1 to the RMA. Besides stating that the existence of 
such lesions indicates that fresh fruit could be a pathway for the 
introduction or spread of citrus canker, the commenter also stated that 
it is possible that disinfecting the surface of the fruit might 
exacerbate the subsequent infectivity of Xac exuding from small 
lesions, by removing other (e.g., rot-provoking) organisms that might 
directly or indirectly accelerate the decline of Xac after harvesting.
    As discussed in the RMA, in the field, immature citrus is most 
susceptible to infection with Xac and lesion development. Mature citrus 
fruit have natural wax layers on their surface, decreasing 
susceptibility by reducing access to natural openings, such as stomata. 
In addition, mature (not expanding) asymptomatic fruit without injuries 
or blemishes are not known to develop symptoms in the field. In the 
Koizumi (1972) study, mature fruit were experimentally inoculated while 
the fruit was still attached to the tree; equivalent conditions are 
extremely unlikely to occur naturally.
    The lesions Koizumi observed resulted from a combination of 
artificial (prick) inoculations and natural infections and therefore 
provide little information about how the ratio of typical to atypical 
lesions on fruit varies under natural conditions. Koizumi's results 
varied greatly over the several years he conducted these experiments; 
the commenters cite results from the year with the highest incidence of 
infection, which coincided with unusually high temperatures and two 
typhoons (hurricanes). Koizumi speculated that the atypical lesions 
were the result of restricted expansion brought on by physiological 
changes in the maturing fruit and lower ambient temperatures. As noted 
by Graham et al. (1992b), the small late season lesions were 
characterized by a ``lack of bacterial proliferation.'' Lesions without 
proliferation would not provide an epidemiologically significant source 
of inoculum for Xac infections.
    While other studies have conducted similar inoculation tests on 
fruit before (Fulton and Bowman 1929) and after (Graham et al. 1992b; 
Verniere et al. 2003), Koizumi (1972) remains the only paper to 
describe this type of lesion. Fulton and Bowman noted that if one was 
not careful to avoid oil glands when making puncture inoculations, the 
released oils cause injuries to the adjacent tissue. One could 
speculate that at least some of Koizumi's atypical lesions might, in 
fact, be injuries. We have no evidence that the lesions described by 
Koizumi (1972) occur in nature and therefore cannot agree that they 
would occur at the rates cited by the commenters.
    Nevertheless, conditions could exist in which small Xac lesions 
occur. However, as noted above, immature fruit are most susceptible to 
Xac infection, and Xac lesions grow as the fruit matures; the growth of 
the lesions slows as the fruit reaches maturity. Picking mature fruit 
from the tree causes senescence of the fruit and further inhibits 
lesion development. Therefore, while small lesions might occur on 
immature fruit, they would typically grow into larger lesions as the 
fruit matures; if there were small lesions present on such fruit, it 
would be likely that lesions larger than 1 mm would be present as well. 
In general, APHIS inspectors do not see fruit with only lesions smaller 
than 1 mm; small lesions occur in association with larger lesions 
(Riley 2007).
    The packinghouse culling and grading procedures are designed to 
remove fruit with visible lesions and would result in removal of the 
fruits likely to harbor the highest pathogen loads, and therefore 
present the greatest risk of disease transmission. The APHIS inspection 
after the packing process is completed will result in the rejection of 
any lot of fruit that has visible canker lesions and will prevent that 
lot from moving in interstate commerce.
    Wounded fruit. One commenter cited Fulton and Bowman (1929), who 
inoculated a mature grapefruit from the market and 75 days later tested 
the grapefruit. The test indicated that there were ``something like 
32,000 bacteria per puncture,'' although the fruit had not developed 
external lesions. Another commenter stated that a general principle of 
postharvest pathology is that surface disinfestation of fruit with 
standard oxidizing chlorine washes will inactivate most microorganisms 
from the surface of non-wounded fruit, but not from fruit wounds.
    The grapefruit described in Fulton and Bowman (1929) was one of a 
number of market fruit that were inoculated in this way, the rest of 
which either rotted after inoculation or supported bacterial 
populations that did not multiply. All these fruits were kept in moist 
laboratory conditions designed to facilitate the development of Xac 
bacteria.
    Regarding the grapefruit, Fulton and Bowman stated the following in 
their 1929 study: ``There is apparently a very marked difference in the 
behavior of the canker organism following inoculations in the peel of 
mature fruit after removal from the tree as compared with its behavior 
in the peel of mature fruit still on the tree. Possibly changes in the 
physiological condition of the fruit resulting from its removal from 
the tree are responsible for the difference * * * senescent changes in 
the peel favor the development of fungi having saprophytic tendencies; 
it is not inconsistent to presume these changes would in equal degree 
hinder the development of an organism having definitely parasitic 
habits like Pseudomonas citri [Xac].'' This is consistent with a 
determination that infected wounds would occur extremely rarely in 
real-world conditions.
    Fulton and Bowman also reported that infection only occurred if the 
wound stayed moist until the time of inoculation. Wounds that were 
allowed to dry and were inoculated after 26 hours did not result in 
infection. That is, infections occurred only when oil glands were 
avoided and inoculum was applied within 26 hours of wounding (Fulton 
and Bowman 1929). Verniere et al. (2003) reported a disease incidence 
of zero when inoculating mature fruit either by pin prick or spray 
inoculation.
    As noted above, the conditions that would allow citrus canker to 
develop in wounds in the field are unlikely to

[[Page 65182]]

occur. In addition, any fruit with wounds would likely be culled in the 
field or by the packinghouse before it could be submitted for APHIS 
inspection.
    Based on this evidence, we have determined that fruit with small 
lesions or infected wounds would occur extremely rarely and are not 
likely to be epidemiologically significant when they do appear. 
Therefore, it is appropriate to focus our inspection efforts on 
detecting lesions 1 mm or greater.
    The RMA stated that APHIS plant pathologists have intercepted fruit 
in final packed cartons with lesions in the 2-3 mm range and have 
observed that the majority of the symptomatic fruit that APHIS 
inspectors intercepted after passing through the packing line 
undetected by graders have only one lesion (Riley 2007). Two commenters 
addressed this statement. Both asked for data on interceptions in 
Florida fruit, with one asking for information on how many fruit were 
detected and what varieties were found to be infected.
    These data are available from the person listed under FOR FURTHER 
INFORMATION CONTACT.
    One commenter stated that the fact that APHIS inspectors 
intercepted fruit with lesions did not substantiate the statement made 
later in the RMA that grading and inspection procedures are effective 
in removing fruit with visible lesions. Another commenter stated that 
all canker infections cannot be detected in packinghouses without 
knowing whether the fruit originates from a canker-free grove, or at 
least a grove with a very low level of canker infection. The commenter 
stated that it is very difficult, if not impossible, to distinguish 
canker blemishes from numerous other blemishes, especially in the 
growing conditions that prevail in Florida, where many blemishes appear 
on fruit.
    One commenter cited the example of citrus affected by septoria, a 
fungus, that are exported to Korea. This commenter stated that the 
California citrus industry conducts vigorous training programs for line 
employees to identify and eliminate fruit with distinguishable symptoms 
and that this culling is then augmented by laboratory analysis. The 
commenter stated that lab analysis has always detected symptoms on a 
small percentage of fruit missed by highly trained employees.
    We appreciate the opportunity to clarify this point. Various 
evidence, as cited in the RMA, indicates that packinghouse grading and 
inspection procedures are effective in removing fruit with visible 
lesions. Packinghouse graders and inspectors in Florida also receive 
training provided by the State in identifying canker lesions. The 
phytosanitary inspection that will be performed by APHIS in this final 
rule will provide another layer of inspection protection. We provided 
evidence supporting these points in the RMA, including detailed 
evidence about the efficacy of APHIS' inspection process. Scientific 
evidence indicates that these measures are highly effective, but since 
uncertainty remains about the epidemiological significance of 
symptomatic fruit, we are prohibiting the distribution of fruit moved 
interstate to commercial citrus-producing States.
    As discussed earlier in this document, the APHIS packinghouse-based 
inspection is sufficient to detect, with a 95 percent level of 
confidence, any lot of fruit containing 0.38 percent or more fruit with 
visible canker lesions. In other words, if the infection pressure is 
higher than 0.38 percent of the fruit, it is extremely likely that the 
lot will be rejected from interstate commerce. APHIS inspection is thus 
effective regardless of infection pressure.
    One commenter, responding to both the evidence presented for APHIS 
inspectors' detection efficacy in the qualitative portion of the RMA 
and in the model in Appendix 1, stated that none of the evidence 
provided for APHIS inspectors' detection efficacy corresponds to field 
conditions for detection of lesions. The commenter noted that the cited 
figures for refresher training correspond to identification within 40 
seconds of a lesion presented to the inspector, which the commenter 
stated was inconsistent with location of a rare lesion on a fruit in a 
continuous search of 1,000 fruit samples within an average of 5 
seconds, an estimate we presented in the Regulatory Impact Analysis for 
the proposed rule in the context of describing the proposal's potential 
impact on packinghouse operations. The commenter stated that evaluation 
of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) Dip Stick tools and the 
evaluation of a diagnostic tool (if that is a separate exercise from 
the ELISA Dip Stick tool) also corresponded to classification of 
already-detected lesions.
    We appreciate the opportunity to clarify the evidence presented in 
the RMA on the APHIS phytosanitary inspection. The evidence provided in 
the RMA is consistent with the proposed rule's approach of using 
inspection to detect lesions in the packinghouse. The training for 
phytosanitary inspectors was done in packinghouse conditions, using 
culled fruit for the test sample. Both in training and testing and in 
the packinghouse, inspection is performed on fruit that has been 
removed from the packing line.
    Under packinghouse conditions, there is no time limit for fruit 
inspection once the fruit is randomly sampled. This can be accomplished 
because the fruit is inspected individually, away from the packing 
line. The 40-second time limit during training is a performance 
requirement for training, not a packinghouse inspection requirement. 
The estimate that the packinghouse inspection would require 5 seconds 
per fruit is also not an APHIS packinghouse inspection requirement; 
rather, this figure was cited in the context of the potential economic 
impact of the lot inspection on the packinghouse, and specifically in 
discussing possible delays associated with inspection. Inspectors who 
see questionable lesions will be able to take whatever time is 
necessary to determine whether those lesions are canker lesions.
    The ELISA Dip Stick test did correspond to already detected 
lesions. The results of the ELISA Dip Stick test were cited in the RMA 
to provide empirical data on the size of lesions that can be detected 
by inspectors. The ELISA Dip Stick test is not part of the detection 
system that will be used in commercial packinghouses under this final 
rule; it will be used only for confirmation of lesions found by 
inspectors.
    One commenter disagreed with the idea that only ``finished'' fruit 
would be inspected for citrus canker in the packinghouse. The commenter 
stated that citrus canker is more easily detected on fruit that has not 
been through the packing process. Brushing of fruit on the packing line 
may remove diseased tissue, the commenter stated, and waxing of the 
fruit will make the disease harder to diagnose.
    Inspection of fruit before they go through the packing process 
would not allow the packinghouses themselves to cull canker-infected 
fruit prior to packing. In the RMA, we described in detail the efficacy 
of inspection of finished fruit for citrus canker, as discussed 
earlier.
    Our experience indicates that washing fruit will make it easier to 
detect citrus canker lesions. Citrus fruit that comes directly from the 
field is often covered in dirt, sooty mold, and other debris and 
material that could obscure citrus canker lesions. Washing the fruit 
removes some of this material. Because citrus canker lesions occur 
within the peel of the fruit, they would not be brushed off during 
finishing. Additionally, the wax used on fruit is transparent, which 
means it would not impede disease detection.

[[Page 65183]]

Potential Pathways for Spread of Citrus Canker Through Movement of 
Fruit

    As mentioned earlier, the RMA that was made available with the 
proposed rule concluded that the introduction and spread of Xac into 
other commercial citrus-producing States through the movement of 
commercially packed fresh citrus fruit is unlikely because:
     Fresh citrus fruit is produced and harvested using 
techniques that reduce the prevalence of Xac-infected fruit;
     Citrus fruit is commercially packed using techniques that 
reduce the prevalence of infected or contaminated fruit, including 
disinfectant treatment for epiphytic contamination;
     For a successful Xac infection that results in disease 
outbreaks to occur an unlikely sequence of events would have to occur;
     Reports of citrus canker disease outbreaks linked to fresh 
fruit are absent; and
     Large quantities of fresh citrus fruit shipped from 
regions with Xac have not resulted in any known outbreaks of citrus 
canker disease.
    One commenter stated that we did not enumerate any complete 
pathways for transmission and so did not evaluate the scientific 
evidence in such a way as to evaluate the possibility or likelihood for 
transmission along such pathways. The commenter also stated that there 
are pathways (including illegal diversion of fruit and perfectly legal 
amateur grower activities) from every part of the country that may lead 
to infection of commercial citrus areas and that have not been 
evaluated. This commenter and another commenter suggested several 
potential pathways that we had not addressed in the RMA.
    In general, it is difficult to examine quantitatively the pathways 
by which infected fruit could theoretically spread citrus canker. Those 
pathways are dependent on consumer behaviors and biological events for 
which we lack data that we could use to quantify them, and no such data 
were provided by the commenters. This lack of data is one reason we 
have determined that it is appropriate to prohibit distribution of 
fruit moved interstate from a quarantined area to commercial citrus-
producing States. As discussed earlier, such a prohibition, combined 
with the monitoring and enforcement efforts APHIS will use to ensure 
that the prohibition is adhered to, is effective at preventing the 
illegal movement of fruit.
    We discuss the specific pathways brought up by the commenters 
below.
    One commenter suggested that citrus canker could be spread through 
long-distance movement due to storm or cyclone activity.
    The available evidence indicates that the maximum range for spread 
of citrus canker through storm activity would not be sufficient to 
spread citrus canker from Florida to another commercial citrus-
producing State.
    One commenter suggested that citrus canker could be spread through 
movement on workers' clothes and picking bags.
    As discussed earlier, while Xac can persist on a number of 
surfaces, its infectivity outside lesions is unknown. We do not agree 
that it is likely that workers will move between Florida and other 
commercial citrus-producing States without laundering their clothes and 
while carrying their own picking bags. The commenter provides no 
evidence that could be used to empirically estimate the frequency of 
such behavior, and APHIS is unaware of any such evidence.
    Two commenters suggested that citrus canker could be spread if 
fruit or peel from citrus fruit infected with Xac is placed in or 
around susceptible host plants, after which a water event moves the 
bacterium from the fruit or peel to the host plant. One commenter cited 
Koizumi (1972) as evidence that Xac could be recovered from fruit peel 
for months if the peel was placed in physiological solution for 2 
hours. This commenter stated that only one bacterium is required to 
cause infection. Another commenter cited fruit with live Xac cells that 
are thrown into a compost pile or bin under a backyard citrus tree, 
after which a splash or water movement occurs. Once a backyard citrus 
plant was infected, these commenters stated, rain or storm events could 
spread the bacterium to commercial citrus groves.
    The Koizumi (1972) study recovered bacteria using physiological 
solution, a buffered saline solution that ensures optimal conditions 
for bacterial recovery. Analogous conditions do not occur in nature. 
Additionally, for this scenario to occur, citrus fruit that is infected 
would have to have been moved from a quarantined area into a commercial 
citrus-producing State--movement that is prohibited by the regulations. 
As discussed earlier, we are increasing monitoring and disease 
surveillance activities and making changes to the regulations in order 
to help prevent the illegal or inadvertent movement of fruit from 
quarantined areas into commercial citrus-producing States. If an 
infected fruit was illegally moved into a commercial citrus-producing 
State, it would have to be exposed to susceptible plants under very 
specific physical and environmental conditions for infection to occur.
    While it is true that one bacterium is sufficient to cause 
infection, that one bacterium would have to encounter conditions that 
were appropriate for infection. There is a very low likelihood that any 
one bacterium will encounter conditions sufficient to cause infection; 
it is difficult to create these conditions even in a laboratory 
setting. Under natural conditions, it would require thousands if not 
millions of tries for one bacterium to cause infection. Gottwald and 
Graham (1992) estimated that as few as 2.4 Xac bacteria forced into a 
water congested stomatal cavity of a susceptible plant were sufficient 
to cause a lesion. However, they also determined that the minimum 
concentration of bacteria in the inoculum needed to produce an 
infection, and presumably to place the estimated 2.4 bacteria in a 
stomatal cavity, was 10\5\ cfu/mL. Thus, although it may take only 2.4 
infective bacteria in the right place to cause infection, it takes 
exponentially greater numbers of bacteria in the inoculum for those 2.4 
bacteria to occur in the right place at the right time.
    The data submitted by one commenter (see http://
www.regulations.gov/fdmspublic/component/
main?main=DocumentDetail&d=APHIS-2007-0022-0053), in which infected 
fruit were placed next to grapefruit seedlings in natural conditions 
for 2 months without infection of the seedlings, suggests that the 
likelihood of such an occurrence may be low.
    Finally, for this pathway to occur, rain or storm conditions would 
have to prevail that could spread the bacterium over long distances, 
but Borchert et al. (2007) concluded that such conditions are unlikely 
to prevail outside Florida, the State that is currently quarantined for 
citrus canker.
    We acknowledge that it is possible that all of these circumstances 
could prevail, but such a ``perfect risk'' scenario would be an 
extremely rare event. The commenter provides no evidence that could be 
used to empirically estimate the frequency of this behavior, and APHIS 
is unaware of any such evidence.
    One commenter suggested a fruit-to-human-to-plant pathway for the 
introduction of citrus canker into a commercial citrus-producing State. 
A hobbyist who cultivates citrus in a State other than a commercial 
citrus-producing State could handle infective citrus from the 
quarantined area, then infect the plants the hobbyist is cultivating. 
The hobbyist might not notice the canker infection and could

[[Page 65184]]

subsequently move the infected plants into a commercial citrus-
producing State.
    We acknowledge that such an occurrence is possible, but such a 
``perfect risk'' scenario would be an extremely rare event. The 
commenter provides no evidence that could be used to empirically 
estimate the frequency of such amateur citrus grower behavior, and 
APHIS is unaware of any such evidence.
    None of the pathway scenarios suggested by the commenters have 
changed the RMA's conclusion that an unlikely sequence of 
epidemiological events would have to occur for a successful Xac 
infection that results in disease outbreaks to occur as a result of the 
movement of commercially packed, treated, and APHIS-inspected fruit to 
States other than commercial citrus-producing States.

Potential for Citrus Canker Establishment in Commercial Citrus-
Producing Areas

    The RMA included a discussion of the susceptibility of commercial 
citrus-producing areas that are not currently quarantined for citrus 
canker to the spread of the disease. This discussion included a 
reference to a study by Borchert et al. (2007) that developed a citrus 
canker spread model using the North Carolina State University APHIS 
Plant Pest Forecast System to identify areas where citrus canker could 
become established in the major citrus-producing regions of the United 
States.
    Two commenters stated that modeling of pathogen establishment, 
infection, and disease severity should be an essential component of the 
risk assessment for each citrus-producing State and region within the 
State, adding that the Borchert project results should be made publicly 
available.
    We disagree that modeling of pathogen establishment, infection, and 
disease severity in commercial citrus-producing States is a necessary 
component of the risk assessment. The RMA concluded that the 
introduction and spread of Xac into other commercial citrus-producing 
States through the movement of commercially packed fresh citrus fruit 
from quarantined areas is unlikely. Nevertheless, because the RMA 
concluded that the evidence is not currently sufficient to support a 
determination that fresh citrus fruit produced in a Xac-infested grove 
cannot serve as a pathway for the introduction of Xac into new areas, 
we are prohibiting the interstate movement of fruit from a quarantined 
area into commercial citrus-producing States. This measure makes 
modeling of pathogen establishment, infection, and disease severity in 
commercial citrus-producing States unnecessary.
    The Borchert et al. (2007) study is an internal APHIS document. We 
made the study available to commenters who requested it during the 
comment period, and it is available from the person listed under FOR 
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT. The Borchert et al. (2007) study provides 
the modeling requested by the commenters.
    Some commenters addressed the risk citrus canker posed to specific 
States. One commenter stated that California is a fresh citrus State 
with more than 200,000 acres dedicated to the fresh market production 
of oranges, lemons, grapefruit, mandarins, and other citrus varieties. 
Although the majority of the oranges are grown in arid areas, many of 
the lemons and some of the grapefruit are produced in climates with 
higher humidity and rainfall. The commenter stated that the survival of 
canker in these areas would be expected; the survival of canker in the 
more arid areas is less certain, but canker's potential impact cannot 
be ignored based on survival reports from other arid lands. Another 
commenter, addressing the suitability of California's climate for 
development of citrus canker, stated that Dalla Pria et al. (2006) 
stated that the greatest severity of canker occurred at 24 hours of 
leaf wetness, with 4 hours of wetness being the minimum duration 
sufficient to cause 100 percent incidence at optimal temperatures of 25 
[deg]C to 35 [deg]C.
    Another commenter stated that when Texas had citrus canker, it was 
in southeast Texas, which has higher rainfall than the Rio Grande 
Valley. The Rio Grande Valley generally has high relative humidity, 
although the commenter stated that there is tremendous variability in 
Texas' weather patterns; for example, July 2007 has been very wet. The 
commenter stated that canker would be able to thrive in the conditions 
present in the commercial growing area of South Texas. Surveys for 
citrus greening, the commenter stated, have revealed that Texas has 
substantial amounts of citrus in an area approximately 100 miles north 
of the Gulf of Mexico from Brownsville to Houston. The commenter noted 
that the challenges of eradicating canker in the urban areas of Florida 
contributed to the failure of the eradication program and anticipated 
that many of those same difficulties would be experienced in Texas if 
citrus canker appeared in urban areas.
    We agree with these commenters that citrus canker could be 
introduced to California and Texas. The RMA cited Peltier and Frederich 
(1926) as indicating that the disease ``could develop in all of the 
citrus regions of the world sometime over the growing season.'' These 
facts do not change our conclusions that (1) only a small portion of 
each commercial citrus-producing State actually produces citrus, and an 
even smaller portion has a climate suitable for canker disease 
development; and (2) the climate in Florida is the most favorable of 
any State for the development of citrus canker, and it would be more 
difficult for citrus canker to be introduced into and subsequently 
become established in any other State. Regardless, the remaining 
uncertainty about the level of risk associated with the movement of 
citrus fruit from a quarantined area has led us to maintain the current 
prohibition on the movement of citrus fruit into commercial citrus-
producing States.
    Two commenters urged APHIS to address the risk of spreading citrus 
canker to other potential host areas, which may not be areas where 
citrus is commercially produced. One commenter stated that citrus (not 
just fruit-bearing trees) can be and is grown in other areas of the 
United States, and those areas are also at risk of citrus canker. The 
commenter noted that during the initial outbreak of citrus canker in 
the mainland United States, disease outbreaks were also recorded in 
Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Georgia. The commenter also 
noted that Borchert et al. (2007) were tasked ``to identify areas where 
citrus canker could become established in the major citrus producing 
regions of the United States,'' rather than all the areas in the United 
States in which citrus canker could become established.
    These commenters recommended that the RMA and the proposed rule 
take account not only of current commercial citrus-producing areas, but 
also areas where citrus currently grows (even if it is not commercially 
grown) and areas where citrus could grow, but does not currently. These 
commenters stated that establishment of citrus canker in any such area 
might subsequently lead to establishment in commercial areas, since 
many of these areas are contiguous with commercial areas, and long-
distance transport now appears to be more likely than historically, 
presumably due to the presence of the Asian leafminer (Phyllocnistis 
citrella Stainton) in Florida. These commenters also stated that citrus 
canker establishment in areas where citrus is not commercially produced 
would lead to other pathways for establishment in areas where it is.

[[Page 65185]]

    The focus of the citrus canker program has been on commercial 
citrus-producing States because these States present the highest 
likelihood for introduction of the disease, due to the density of 
citrus plantings in those States. Prohibiting the movement of fruit 
from areas quarantined for citrus canker to States other than 
commercial citrus-producing States would be overly restrictive.
    We acknowledge that dooryard plantings of citrus exist outside of 
commercial citrus-producing States. However, while canker infection in 
a State other than a commercial citrus-producing State could serve as a 
pathway for introduction into a commercial citrus-producing State, as 
discussed earlier under the heading ``Potential Pathways for Spread of 
Citrus Canker Through Movement of Fruit,'' an unlikely sequence of 
epidemiological events would have to occur in order for citrus canker 
to be introduced and established through the movement of citrus fruit 
from a quarantined area.
    If, in the future, commercial quantities of citrus are planted in a 
State that is not currently designated as a commercial citrus-producing 
State, we will designate that State as a commercial citrus-producing 
State in Sec.  301.75-5.
    As discussed in the RMA, injuries caused by the Asian leafminer can 
produce wounds that serve as infection courts in leaves and, to a 
lesser extent, fruit, but the leafminer itself is not a vector for the 
spread of citrus canker.

Potential Application of the Packinghouse-Based APHIS Inspection System 
to Imported Citrus

    The regulations in 7 CFR 319.28 prohibit the importation of citrus 
fruit from areas where citrus canker is present, except for Unshu 
oranges from Japan and Cheju Island, Republic of Korea, that are 
produced in accordance with the systems approach described in paragraph 
(b) of that section. The systems approach for Unshu oranges from Japan 
and Korea requires measures to ensure that the oranges are produced in 
an area free from citrus canker; for Unshu oranges from Japan, the 
systems approach requirements also address the citrus fruit fly.
    Several commenters expressed concern that the proposed regulations, 
if implemented, could lead to requests from other citrus-producing 
countries to export citrus fruit under conditions similar to those we 
proposed for the interstate movement of fruit from citrus canker 
quarantined areas. The commenters noted that, under international trade 
agreements, APHIS has agreed not to impose conditions on the 
importation of commodities that are more restrictive than those we 
impose on the domestic movement of similar commodities. These 
commenters stated that the RMA should consider the risk associated not 
only with the interstate movement of citrus fruit from domestic 
quarantined areas but also the risk associated with potential imports 
from foreign citrus-producing areas affected with citrus canker.
    One commenter who had expressed concern about illegal movement of 
Florida citrus into commercial citrus-producing States stated that this 
potential problem would only increase if citrus fruit was allowed to be 
imported from foreign areas affected with citrus canker.
    Our analysis of the risk associated with the importation of citrus 
fruit from other countries where citrus canker exists under conditions 
similar to those in this final rule would be conducted separately from 
the analysis we conducted for this rulemaking. Before we would consider 
using an approach similar to that promulgated in this final rule to 
allow the importation of citrus fruit from canker-affected areas in 
another country, the national plant protection organization of such a 
country would need to submit a request that we do so. A country 
requesting to be able to use this framework to export citrus to us 
would have to demonstrate the ability to perform the required 
treatments and phytosanitary inspections; it would also be required to 
have a bilateral workplan in place with APHIS. Depending on the 
circumstances, we may allow imports only through a preclearance program 
staffed by APHIS inspectors whose salaries are funded by the exporting 
country. In addition, there may be other citrus pests in foreign citrus 
production areas whose risk would need to be mitigated separately from 
the risk posed by citrus canker. For these reasons, we have not amended 
the RMA that accompanies this final rule to discuss potential imports 
from other countries.
    One commenter specifically noted that the requirements for Unshu 
oranges from Japan are not in harmony with the proposed rule.
    The proposed rule and the risk management analysis are based on the 
most recent science and our determination of the appropriate level of 
protection for the citrus canker pathogen. We may reassess the risk 
associated with the importation of Unshu oranges from Japan in the 
future if Japan requests that we do so. If we reassess the risk 
associated with Unshu oranges from Japan, as discussed earlier, the 
assessment will take into account all relevant local conditions and all 
pests that are present in Japanese citrus production areas.
    It is important to note that Unshu oranges from Japan, if they are 
fumigated for arthropod pests, are allowed to be imported into 
commercial citrus-producing States, because they are produced under a 
systems approach. Fruit moved interstate from citrus canker quarantined 
areas is not allowed to be moved into those States under this final 
rule.
    One commenter noted that the term ``commercially packed'' can be 
interpreted in different ways. In South Korea, the commenter stated, 
one group of growers used a ``commercial'' packing shed that was no 
more than 75 meters by 50 meters and in which the post-harvest 
treatment with sodium hypochlorite was performed in a small bath. The 
commenter stated that it is important to recognize that different 
circumstances prevail in different countries when harmonizing domestic 
regulations with import regulations.
    We fully agree with the commenter that the circumstances in a 
country would need to be assessed before we could allow the importation 
of citrus from a citrus canker-affected area under conditions similar 
to those under which we are allowing the movement of citrus from a 
citrus canker quarantined area.
    With regard to the specific circumstance cited by the commenter, we 
have determined that it is necessary to define the term ``commercial 
packinghouse'' in this final rule, given that the PRA and RMA analyzed 
the risk associated with the interstate movement of commercially packed 
fruit. In this final rule, we are adding a definition of commercial 
packinghouse to the regulations. This definition reads: ``An 
establishment in which space and equipment are maintained for the 
primary purpose of packing citrus fruit for commercial sale. A 
commercial packinghouse must be registered as a packinghouse with the 
State in which it operates or hold a business license for treating and 
packing fruit.'' This definition will help to ensure that the 
packinghouses that pack fruit for interstate movement under this final 
rule have equipment and operating procedures that are consistent with 
those described in the PRA and RMA.
    Because the PRA and RMA referred specifically to the risks 
associated with commercially packed fruit, we are amending the proposed 
regulations in Sec.  301.75-7 to refer specifically to commercial 
packinghouses.
    One commenter stated that implementation of the proposed rule

[[Page 65186]]

may also result in foreign countries requesting APHIS to consider a 
similar approach for fresh commodities other than citrus. The commenter 
stated that the approach described in the proposed rule could be 
applied in any number of other situations in which a systems approach 
is not operationally or financially feasible.
    It is important to note in response to this comment that we 
determine what phytosanitary mitigations are appropriate for the 
importation or interstate movement of commodities based on our 
assessment of the risk their importation or interstate movement poses 
and the appropriate level of phytosanitary protection against that 
risk. If we determined that a set of mitigations was necessary to 
provide the appropriate level of protection for a commodity proposed 
for importation, but that set of mitigations was determined not to be 
operationally or financially feasible by the national plant protection 
organization of the exporting country, we would not allow the 
importation of that commodity.
    We would only allow the importation of a commodity under an 
approach similar to the approach used in this final rule if we 
determined that this approach could provide the appropriate level of 
phytosanitary protection. In past cases where we have determined that 
inspection, treatment, and limited distribution mitigations similar to 
those implemented in this final rule can provide an appropriate level 
of protection against the introduction of plant pests by imported 
commodities, we have employed such mitigations. For example, litchi 
imported from Thailand are inspected for a fungal pathogen, irradiated 
for arthropod pests, and prohibited from being imported or moved into 
Florida due to the litchi rust mite.
    In order for us to determine that a packinghouse-centered approach 
provided an appropriate level of phytosanitary protection, we would 
have to determine that the biology of the pest supported such an 
approach and that the pest in question could be effectively detected by 
inspection of the commodity. In addition, other considerations may 
apply based on the level of risk we determine importation of the 
commodity to pose.

Miscellaneous Comments on the RMA

    One commenter noted that, since viable Xac have been found in 
fruits with canker lesions that are imported into Europe, it is clear 
that the importation of symptomless fruits from canker-infected areas 
has a risk of introducing the disease if all the control steps, carried 
out by many people at different times, are not always perfectly 
implemented.
    The RMA concluded that the introduction and spread of Xac into 
other commercial citrus-producing States through the movement of 
commercially packed fresh citrus fruit from quarantined areas is 
unlikely. While fruit with visible canker lesions has likely been 
imported into the EU, the importation of citrus fruit from areas where 
citrus canker is present has not resulted in the introduction of the 
disease in the EU, despite the fact that all fruit imported into the EU 
is allowed to move to citrus-producing areas within the EU. (This is 
discussed in more detail in the RMA in Section 5.6.2, ``International 
and Interstate Movement of Citrus Fruit.'') In addition, treatment and 
inspection will both serve as effective mitigations against the 
potential of fruit moved interstate to introduce citrus canker to other 
States. Nevertheless, the RMA concluded that the evidence is not 
currently sufficient to support a determination that fresh citrus fruit 
produced in a Xac-infested grove cannot serve as a pathway for the 
introduction of Xac into new areas. That is why this final rule 
prohibits the distribution of fruit moved interstate from quarantined 
areas to commercial citrus-producing States.
    In the RMA, we stated that there is no authenticated record of the 
movement of fresh fruit infected with Xac being related to the 
epidemiology of citrus canker disease. One commenter stated that pest-
free areas are now established on the basis of a pest being ``known (as 
demonstrated by scientific evidence) not to occur'' rather than ``not 
known to occur,'' and the same standard of evidence should apply to 
this statement; research should be conducted to establish this 
statement as fact.
    We agree with the commenter's characterization of the process by 
which pest-free areas are established. Our statement was not meant to 
imply that we had positively established that fresh fruit infected with 
Xac has never served as a pathway for the transmission of citrus 
canker. Rather, it reflects the fact that no outbreaks of citrus canker 
have ever been attributed to the movement of infected fruit, despite 
the brisk global trade in such fruit. (The majority of outbreaks of 
citrus canker whose cause is known were caused by the movement of 
infected citrus nursery stock, rather than fruit.)
    The RMA noted the Asian leafminer interacts with Xac by providing 
wounds that serve as infection courts in leaves and, to a lesser 
extent, fruit. Leafminer wounds create suitable microclimates for Xac 
development, and leafminer-damaged leaves have more and larger lesions. 
One commenter asked whether injuries from the peel miner, an insect 
present in California, could result in higher infection of fruits.
    Injuries from the peel miner would be likely to increase the 
susceptibility of fruit to infection, and increase the severity of the 
infection if they became infected. In terms of overall spread of citrus 
canker, the peel miner would not likely be as epidemiologically 
significant as the Asian leafminer, since leaves of citrus trees and 
plants are more susceptible to citrus canker infection than the peels 
of citrus fruit.
    One section of the RMA discussed the effect of shipping and storage 
temperatures on Xac populations, concluding that typical shipping and 
storage temperatures reduce such populations. One commenter noted that 
pathologists are able to keep Xac-infected samples in refrigerators at 
2 [deg]C to 4 [deg]C and still isolate the bacterium. The commenter 
stated that the emphasis of this section should be on the survival of 
the bacterium.
    We agree with the commenter that cool temperatures do not 
necessarily cause mortality for Xac, and the RMA noted accordingly that 
such temperatures influence survival rather than stating that they 
inactivate the bacteria. However, in the context of an analysis of the 
likelihood of citrus fruit serving as a pathway for the introduction or 
spread of citrus canker, it is important to note that shipping and 
storage temperatures reduce Xac populations. In addition, commercial 
refrigeration is also quite dry, and Xac is highly influenced by 
humidity, so the dryness of refrigeration is more likely to have 
mortality effects than the cold.
    The RMA stated that fruit are susceptible to citrus canker 
infection from petal fall until they are around 6 cm in diameter, and 
are most susceptible at a fruit diameter of about 2-4 cm. One commenter 
stated that fruit size cannot be related to susceptibility unless the 
variety is indicated, as some varieties (such as grapefruit) are bigger 
than others (such as mandarins).
    We agree with the commenter, and we have amended the discussion in 
the RMA to state that fruit are susceptible to natural (stomatal) 
infection from petal fall until they are fully expanded (around 6 cm in 
diameter for some varieties), and are most susceptible after stomata 
form and fruit is in a stage of rapid expansion, a period of about 90 
to 120 days (at a fruit diameter of about 2-6 cm for some varieties).
    In discussing the international and interstate movement of citrus 
fruit, the

[[Page 65187]]

RMA noted that in 2004, India (where Xac is reported) shipped 8 metric 
tons of citrus to Ghana and 2 metric tons to South Africa, and that no 
outbreaks of Xac have been reported in any of the recipient countries. 
One commenter stated that the shipment of citrus from India to South 
Africa seems a dubious record.
    These data were drawn from the Food and Agriculture Organization's 
``World trade and crop production statistics'' database at http://
faostat.fao.org. The commenter provided no further information 
establishing these records as dubious.
    We also discussed the movement of fresh citrus from Florida during 
Xac outbreaks. One commenter asked whether the earlier shipments of 
Florida fruit were from canker-free areas, or at least canker-free 
areas of production under official control.
    We noted in the RMA that these shipments of Florida citrus may have 
originated in areas of low prevalence or free of Xac. These shipments 
were required to originate in groves that had been certified to be free 
of Xac based on an inspection.

Comments on the Model in Appendix 1 to the RMA

    As mentioned earlier, to assist in evaluating the options we 
identified for packinghouse-centered risk management, we prepared a 
quantitative model (Appendix 1 to the RMA) based on Florida production 
and shipping data to evaluate the efficacy of three levels of 
phytosanitary inspection in ensuring that fruit with visible canker 
lesions does not enter commercial citrus-producing States. The three 
inspection levels were determined by preliminary estimates of the Plant 
Protection and Quarantine program's Citrus Health Response Program 
staff of inspection levels that might be operationally feasible. The 
three inspection levels evaluated were 500 fruit per lot, 1,000 fruit 
per lot, and 2,000 fruit per lot. Statistically, randomized inspection 
of 500, 1,000 fruit, or 2,000 fruit per lot will ensure, with 95 
percent confidence, that the proportion of undetected fruit with 
visible canker lesions in a cleared lot is no more than 0.75, 0.38, and 
0.19 percent, respectively.
    The outputs of the quantitative model were probability 
distributions. The model determined, with 95 percent confidence, that 
the total number of citrus fruit shipped from Florida to 5 citrus-
producing States (Arizona, California, Hawaii, Louisiana and Texas) 
over a single shipping season would be 181,283,744 or less if unlimited 
distribution is permitted. The model determined, with 95 percent 
confidence, that the number of Xac-symptomatic fruit reaching those 5 
States in a single shipping season would be 633,152 or less at the 
1,000 randomly sampled fruit inspection level. We anticipate that about 
double that number (approximately 1,266,304 or less) of Xac-symptomatic 
fruit would reach those States at the 500 fruit inspectional level. 
About half that number (approximately 316,576 or less) would reach 
those States at the 2,000 fruit inspectional level. The model further 
determined with 95 percent confidence that the number of symptomatic 
fruit reaching citrus-producing areas within those States in a single 
shipping season would be 2,135 or less at the 1,000 fruit inspectional 
level, about double that number (approximately 4,270 or less) at the 
500 fruit inspectional level, and about half that number (approximately 
1,067 or less) at the 2,000 fruit inspectional level. (As discussed in 
Section 9.3.3.4 of Appendix 1 to the RMA, the actual acreage on which 
citrus is produced within a citrus-producing State is a small fraction 
of the total acreage of that State.) The base level inspection of 1,000 
randomly sampled fruit per lot was adopted because it is operationally 
feasible with small adjustments to the current phytosanitary inspection 
process in Florida.
    The potential for fruit with visible canker lesions to reach 
commercial citrus-producing States, coupled with the aforementioned 
uncertainty regarding fruit as a pathway, led to the determination that 
additional mitigations were required.
    We received several comments from one commenter addressing the 
model in Appendix 1 to the RMA.
    The commenter stated that the model failed to take into account the 
increased numbers of fruit that would be moved interstate from Florida 
and imported from citrus canker-affected areas in other countries, and 
thus underestimated the number of potentially infected fruit that could 
reach commercial citrus-producing States. The commenter cited another 
comment that estimated that the spread of canker has resulted in an 
additional 20 percent of Florida's total fresh citrus groves becoming 
ineligible for interstate movement under the regulations that were in 
place before the publication of this final rule. That 20 percent, that 
commenter stated, represents approximately 8 million 4/5-bushel cartons 
or an approximately $80 million potential business opportunity under 
the proposal.
    The comment estimating the potential increase in fruit moved 
interstate under this final rule is dealt with in more detail under the 
heading ``Comments on the Preliminary Regulatory Impact Analysis and 
Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis'' later in this document. We 
have concluded that the increase in the number of fruit that will be 
moved interstate under this final rule is likely much less than the 
commenter estimates, although we have been unable to quantify the 
probable increase.
    This final rule does not change our requirements for the 
importation of citrus fruit from areas in other countries where citrus 
canker is present. Therefore, this final rule will not increase the 
amount of fruit imported from such areas. As stated earlier in this 
document under the heading ``Potential Application of the Packinghouse-
Based APHIS Inspection System to Imported Citrus,'' our analysis of the 
risk associated with the importation of citrus fruit from other 
countries where citrus canker exists under conditions similar to those 
in this final rule would be conducted separately from the analysis we 
conducted for the proposal and this final rule.
    In Section 9.3.3.1 of Appendix 1, we determined probability 
distributions for the number of \4/5\-bushel cartons shipped per 
growing season for each commercial citrus-producing State destination 
and variety of fruit. To determine the probability distributions, we 
used the minimum, average, and maximum values of the last 4 years (2003 
through 2006) of historical data on citrus fruit shipping from Florida 
to other commercial citrus-producing States.
    One commenter stated that the last 4 seasons of data have been 
strongly affected by both natural events (damage caused by hurricanes, 
tree destruction in an attempt to eradicate the canker outbreak) and 
imposed movement restrictions (due to the canker outbreak). The 
commenter noted that over the 10 years preceding the 2003 through 2006 
data, the average domestic shipping quantity was 1.6 times higher than 
it was during those years. The commenter stated that the uncertainty in 
the expected average number of fruit that will be shipped from Florida 
is therefore considerably higher than would be expected from 
examination of just the last four seasons, unless APHIS considers that 
the decline in numbers is a permanent feature of the Florida industry 
and the last four seasons are typical.
    The amount of citrus moved interstate has declined steadily since 
the 1996-97

[[Page 65188]]

season, with a larger decline in 2004-05, when fruit production was 
affected by hurricanes. (See figure 1.)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR19NO07.000

    The trends and changes occurring in the Florida citrus industry 
suggest that the last four seasons are typical. The 2006 Commercial 
Citrus Inventory for Florida (USDA-NASS 2007) states the following 
about the 2-year trend for Florida citrus fruit production: ``Florida's 
citrus acreage peaked again at 857,687 in 1996 but has been declining 
ever since. The 2006 total is 621,373, down 17.0 percent in a 2-year 
period noted for hurricanes, diseases, and urban development. The net 
change, a loss of 127,182 acres, is the greatest in any non-freeze 
period and 2nd overall. The Indian River District bore one-third of 
this loss. Removals out-numbered new plantings by a ratio of more than 
5:1. The 23,623 acres of new plantings are the least recorded in any 
two-year period since 1970-71.'' The last two sentences are especially 
germane to this discussion, as any rebound in Florida fresh citrus 
production would depend on new plantings. The Commercial Citrus 
Inventory also states that acreage decreases were reported for all 30 
counties included in the survey, and that ``only 197,027 acres (28.2 
percent) remain from the 697,929 reported in the 1988 census.'' This 
evidence indicates a continued trend toward a decline in Florida citrus 
production. Therefore, we are making no changes in response to this 
comment. However, as shipping data for the 2006-07 season are now 
available, we use those data in Appendix 1 of the RMA that accompanies 
this final rule.
    In Section 9.3.3.2 of Appendix 1 of the RMA, we presented a 
determination of the number of fruit shipped per \4/5\-bushel carton. 
We used USDA-National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) forecasts 
of fruit sizes to determine percentage distributions for the number of 
fruit that would be contained in each \4/5\-bushel carton, and then 
used the minimum, mean, and maximum from each of these distributions as 
parameters in a Pert distribution to define the number of fruit of each 
variety per \4/5\-bushel carton.
    The commenter made several comments about this technique, stating 
that:
     The USDA-NASS forecasts of fruit sizes are properly 
represented by a discrete, rather than a continuous, distribution;
     No basis was given for the use of Pert distributions to 
account for the uncertainties in annual shipments;
     The Pert distributions generated have mean values that 
differ from the mean values of the data, because the mean values of the 
data were improperly used as the modes for the Pert distributions;
     The actual use of Pert distributions, which is 
accomplished by fitting the discrete data to a Pert distribution and 
then finding the mean and standard deviation of the Pert distribution, 
is inefficient, not well defined, and has an unknown error rate; and
     The Florida Department of Citrus has data on the actual 
average numbers of fruit per \4/5\-bushel carton, which we should have 
used.
    The commenter stated that these flaws had an impact on a later 
section of the analysis as well, Section 9.3.4, in which our evaluation 
of the uncertainty associated with the number of fruit that will move 
interstate from Florida relies on the uncertainty in the Pert 
distributions that the commenter stated were incorrectly employed.
    We agree that the analysis would have been improved by the use of 
the actual average numbers of fruit per \4/5\-bushel carton. To improve 
the model in Appendix 1 for this final rule, we have obtained from the 
Florida Department of

[[Page 65189]]

Citrus the total number of \4/5\-bushel cartons of fruit for each type 
and size of fruit that was shipped to commercial citrus-producing 
States and the average number of fruit per bushel for each fruit size. 
Our use of these data makes using the USDA-NASS fruit size forecasts 
and the resulting Pert distributions unnecessary, thus addressing the 
commenter's concerns.
    For some varieties, using real data increases the numb